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Sunday, November 8, 2009

Wide Range of Possibilities for Hurricane Ida

Most forecast models are pretty much in similarity for the next 24 hours. After this the models go crazy and there is a wide range of possibilities for the storm. For the strength some models have Hurricane Ida being a tropical storm at landfall while another model has it making landfall as a Category 3 hurricane and staying at Category 1 strength if it goes on a track that takes it up to Virginia. Also there is a wide range of tracks for the storm. The storm curving back out in the Gulf is a possibility, the storm going into and across Florida is another possibility, the storm going up to the Mid-Atlantic is also a possibility, and the storm going up towards Canada is another track possibility. The worst case scenario though for the Delmarva area is it going up to just off the Mid-Atlantic. This could give the beaches major beach erosion, coastal flooding, and very high surf. Also several inches of rain with 60-80 mph gust is possible. If this scenario works out the Appalachians will also be slammed with 1-2 feet of heavy wet snow. We will just have to pay close attention right now to this dangerous storm.

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