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Thursday, December 31, 2009

5 Day Forecast

Thursday: High 41 Low 32 Few Showers
Friday: High 39 Low 27 Cloudy/Breezy
Saturday: High 33 Low 18 Partly Cloudy/Windy
Sunday: High 31 Low 15 Partly Cloudy/Windy
Monday: High 32 Low 17 Partly Cloudy/Windy

Storm At The End of Next Week

The GFS has put the snowstorm for the 8th and 9th back on the models. If the storm does occur it should be an all snow event as the temperatures will be plenty cold for snow. Temperatures on the 8th and 9th should be in the low 30s as highs and upper teens as nighttime lows. So stay tuned as this date gets closer to see if the models keep the storm.

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

5 Day Forecast for the Delmarva

Wednesday: High 37 Low 26 P.M. Rain/Snow
Thursday: High 42 Low 36 Rain/Snow Showers
Friday: High 37 Low 24 Flurries
Saturday: High 34 Low 18 Partly Cloudy/Breezy
Sunday: High 33 Low 20 Breezy

Tuesday, December 29, 2009


Yes you have read write the newest ensemble of the NOGAPS now shows a moderate strength snowstorm for the Delmarva, New Jersey Coast, Long Island, and New England. This model at this point in time is the only model pointing to this scenario. The NOGAPS shows the Delmarva receiving near 6 inches of snow and windy conditions. With no other model agreeing with this scenario you can not trust the model at this point. I will watch other models throughout the week to see if they go to the solution. At this oint though the only thing the models are agreeing on is it is going to stay cold and possibly get cold. So stay tuned as this storm gets closer to see more on this possible Coastal snowstorm.

U.S. Weather

A dry cold front coming through the Northeast is bringing Arctic air to the region. With this Arctic air very windy conditions have brought wind chill values down to the single digits and negative degrees in the Northern Northeast and wind chill values in the teens in the Mid-Atlantic. This is making it feel bitter cold. So wear many layers today. The temperatures will warm up tomorrow by near 5-10 degrees. Also the lake effect snow that is falling today will stop overnight.

The Southeast is receiving clear conditions with chilly temperatures in the 40s and 50s. Florida though is the only area that is warmer than that where the temperatures are in the 70s and 80s. The South Central U.S. though is being impacted by a storm system that will continue to track towards the Northeast by Thursday. This storm today is bringing rain to southern and eastern Texas and snow to northern and western Texas. This precipitation should remain light and it should move out overnight and move to the Southeast tomorrow. In the Southwest scattered snow and rain showers are around in the mountains of New Mexico and Arizona.

A moderate strength storm system is moving into Northern California and Oregon today. This storm system is bringing mountain snow and valley rains. Over the next couple of days this storm should move out and clear out the Northwest. This time of quietness will be short lived as another storm system should impact the Northwest later this week.

Most areas in the Plains today is clear and sunny. There is though some scattered areas of snow showers. Also in southern Oklahoma rain from the storm system in Texas is falling. This is one of the only areas in the Plains that is not cold enough to snow.

Monday, December 28, 2009

NASA Outlines Recent Breakthroughs in Greenhouse Gas Research

ScienceDaily (Dec. 16, 2009) — Researchers studying carbon dioxide, a leading greenhouse gas and a key driver of global climate change, now have a new tool at their disposal: daily global measurements of carbon dioxide in a key part of our atmosphere. The data are courtesy of the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument on NASA's Aqua spacecraft.......
For more on this story go to http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/12/091215194218.htm

Wind Advisory








Blizzard Becoming Less Likely

The storm that I thought could be a blizzard near the New Year's now looks like it will be mostly rain changing to light snow. Temperatures in the 30's over the next couple of days should warm to the mid 40's during the storm causing mostly rain. Temperatures then should decrease to the lower 30's. This is when another storm on the 7th could bring light snow showers or flurries. Right after this weak system a much stronger storm is expected to affect us bringing several inches of snow. This storm will occur on the 10th. There will not be much of a break between that storm and the next as the 4th and biggest storm should affect us on the 13th. This will bring more substantial snow amounts adding to a ever growing snowcover. Cold temperatures should stick around through the first half of January as highs should stay between 25-40 degrees fahrenheit. The snowcover will not melt away so any more storms will just continue to cover the Delmarva. So stay tuned as all these storms get closer.

Saturday, December 26, 2009

Blizzard Possible On The Second and Third of January

GFS now has a major blizzard possibly occurring at the beginning of the New Year. This storm is projected to occur on the second and the third. This is the time when most kids are supposed to be going back to school from Winter Break. This may not occur though if this storm occurs. The 18z of the GFS has a blizzard with winds to 60 mph. The storm should begin on the second starting as heavy rain then changing to very heavy snow. Snow could accumulate up to 2 feet in some places. Beach erosion and large waves will also occur on an already damaged coast line. Visibilities would also be less than a mile. So stay tuned as we get closer to the date of the storm as I will have more information on the impending storm. 2010 may come in with a roar!!!!

Thursday, December 24, 2009

Monster Snowstorm Possible On New Year's Day

Stay tuned as I will update on the possible snowstorm as more models come out and if the snowstorm stays on the GFS.

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

New Year's Day Storm

A storm is possible to impact the Delmarva Peninsula on New Year's Day. It looks as if at this point it will be a snowstorm. We will have to continue to watch this storm as this storm could be a bigger storm for the central and southern Delmarva than the last. So stay tuned as I will have more details on the storm over the next couple of days.

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

100 Visitors

I have finally reached 100 visitors on my blog. The latest storm we had really got a lot of people on here. Thanks to all the people who have visited and took a look at my site.

One Rainstorm Then Three Possible Snowstorms

As our snow cover from the last storm is beginning to melt away a rainstorm is on its way towards the Delmarva for Christmas. At this points it does not look like this storm will be a big one in our area producing half an inch of rain, but when the storm first starts out it will produce a blizzard in the Midwest. After this storm there is a possible snowstorm on New Years Eve. This storm is beginning to look very possible since it has showed up on the models for a week now. This storm could bring half a foot of snow to the Delmarva Peninsula and higher amounts the closer you get to the I-95 corridor. Then another storm forms on the fourth. This storm we will have to watch as it has been back and forth showing rain and snow. Then once again yet another storm forms and could be a Big Daddy for the I-95 corridor around the ninth. So stay tuned as we have a lot of exciting weather to go through over the next couple of weeks.

Monday, December 21, 2009

Rainy Christmas then Possible Snowy New Years

Stay tuned for an update tonight about the next three storms that are going to affect the Delmarva.

Sunday, December 20, 2009

Snowcover to Last At Least Until Christmas Eve

The snowstorm that we just have will allow for most of the Delmarva Peninsula to receive a White Christmas Eve. This is when a warm-up and a rainstorm will occur. Highs on Christmas Day will be near 50 degrees with rain accumulating up to an inch to fall. This will melt all the leftover snow there is on the ground. After the Christmas Day rainstorm we will have to turn our eyes to another storm. This will be occurring when there is a cool-down. This storm will likely affect us on New Years Day and the day after. A wintry mix should occur with this storm changing over to snow. A warm-up after the storm should melt away any snow that falls. This possible snowstorm is still over a week away so you will have to stay tuned for more details on the two storms.

Next Two Storms

Snow is over across the whole Delmarva Peninsula. Here in Delmar we received 4-6 inches of snow. Most of this snow froze and has made roads treacherous. Throughout the week the snow will slowly melt with daytime temperatures in the 30s and will freeze at nights again making roads slippery with nighttime temperatures in the 20s. After that we will receive a rainstorm on Christmas Day. The rain will accumulate 2-3 inches. After this we will have to watch a possible snowstorm on New Years Day. Stay tuned as I will talk more and more about the next two storms through the week.

Saturday, December 19, 2009

Heaviest Snow Still Yet To Come

We have already received heavy snow that has accumulated over 2 inches. Now the precipitation has changed to sleet, but this should not last long. The precipitation should change back to all snow early this afternoon. This is when snow could fall at 2-3" per hour. It is likely we will see another 6 inches or more of snow.

Snow Continues to Fall

What was expected to change over to rain and snow and possibly all rain has not changed over at all. All night temperatures have stayed steady between 32 and 33 degrees. The extra snow overnight we received will cause the Delmar area to have heftier amounts of snow. We have already seen 2-3 inches+ and nearly 10 inches more snow can be expected. Along with the heavy snow wind will be blowing at 25-35mph. This will create whiteout conditions. So stay tuned to my blog for more updates on the great storm.

Update: Major Winter Storm

It continues to snow heavily in Delmar and surrounding areas. Over an inch of snow has fallen so far tonight and more snow will fall as we still have over 24 hours more of the storm. All roads in Delmar are snow covered and icy. As the storm goes on more and more snow will pile up on the roads. making it very difficult travel. If you do not have to go out tonight through Sunday do not.

Friday, December 18, 2009

Blizzard Warning Out In Annapolis, Maryland

It is possible by tomorrow morning we will end up having a Blizzard Warning come out as heavy snow in excess of 6 inches with winds to 30mph will affect the Delmarva Peninsula tomorrow night.

Treacherous Travel

Snow has began to fall in Delmar. The ground has already been covered with near a quarter inch of snow. Heavier snow will continue to move into the area through the night. Side roads in Delmar are already becoming snow covered so with the heavier snow the roads will continue to become snow covered more. Snowfall amounts to near or above 3 inches could occur tonight. So stay tuned for the next update in the morning.

Crippling Snowstorm

Snow is slowly creeping in to the Delmarva at this hour. By 11pm tonight the snow should be falling in the central Delmarva. Snowfall rates could be an inch an hour. Snow towards the morning should begin to mix with rain tomorrow morning. This won't last long though. Temperatures in the afternoon should fall to near or below freezing. So all the precipitation should change back to snow. The snow should be very heavy with strong winds. Snowfall rates could be 2-3 inches an hour with winds gusting to 45 mph. This could create whiteout conditions. Travel is not recommended from tonight through Sunday. Roads will be very icy and by tomorrow night a half a foot of snow could cover the roads. Snow should fall through Sunday morning with this storm. Snowfall totals for Salisbury north should be in the 6-18 inch range. Once this storm is over very cold temperatures will continue through the week. Highs should be in the mid to upper 30s. This means the snow will not be melting away fast. The snow that does melt during the day will refreeze over night. This will create black ice in the mornings through the week. So be careful for slippery roads through the week. So stay tuned as I will have another update tomorrow morning.

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Major Snowstorm Likely This Weekend

Are you dreaming of a White Christmas? It is looking like a very likely possibility that we will see snow cover this Christmas. This weekend a storm will be tracking up the coast bringing snow from the Carolina Mountains to the coast and up to Boston. Heavy snow is becoming to look like a big possibility Saturday into Sunday. Snow should begin to pile up quickly as the snow will be coming down at a rate of a inch an hour. Several models are showing 6-12 inches in Delmar and even more the farther you go north and then decreasing when you get to New Castle. This will be coming up the coast in a very cold pattern. Temperatures all next week will struggle to get out of the 30s. Nighttime temperatures will be in the 20s so what ever snow melts during the day will refreeze overnight creating treacherous travel conditions. At least 3 inches of snow should be on the ground Christmas day. This is when another possible storm will hit the East Coast bringing either heavy rain or snow. As we get closer to Christmas I will have more on the storm. So stay tuned to my blog as we have a very exciting next couple of weeks coming up.

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Major Delmarva Snowstorm Possible

Though it is not likely for a huge I-95 snowstorm the immediate coastal areas could receive several inches of snow. Models are still not in consensus, but a few models are showing a monster storm traveling along the coast sending heavy precipitation from the Delmarva to Long Island. Temperatures during the time of the storm should be in the 30s making it plenty cold for a snowstorm to occur. If the storm does go up the coast heavy snow and blizzard conditions would occur on the Delmarva. Snowfall rates would be 2-3 inches an hour and 6-12 inches plus would pile up. If the storm goes off the coast flurries could still occur making it feel wintry. After this storm models are picking up a storm around Christmas. I will have more on this over the next couple of days.


I will have details on the possible snowstorm tonight and through the rest of the week.

Monday, December 14, 2009

Fog, Colder, Stormier

Monday morning most of us woke up to a very foggy scene. It caused delays of many schools. This once again could be repeated again Tuesday morning as their is still a lot of moisture from our recent rain with unusually warm temperatures. So be careful Tuesday morning if you are going out early between 4-7am. After this a dry cold front is going to be coming through knocking our 60 degree temperatures tomorrow to low 40s on Wednesday. This cold should stick around through at least Christmas. With this cold air in place their is a chance for several snowstorms between now and New Year's. The first possible storm is Sunday when a low from the Gulf could combine with a dry Alberta Clipper causing a storm to bomb out along the East Coast causing a significant snowstorm. If this occurs the Delmarva could see 3-6 inches of snow. This most likely would not melt away and would still be here on Christmas giving us a White Christmas. That is when another storm is looking more and more likely to form. This storm would cause 2-4 inches of snow from Christmas night through the day after Christmas. This will cause us to have a near 4-8 inch snowcover. Then finally on the day before New Year's Eve we could see the biggest storm of all. This storm would drop 6-12 inches if it comes out like the latest model of the GFS. These three straight storms will cause the Delmarva to see the a snowcover that would last at least a week. This is one thing that we have not seen in years. So stay tuned as these events get closer and I receive more details on the storms.

Sunday, December 13, 2009

Heavier Rain Then Predicted And Then Two Possible Storms

What was only expected to accumulate half an inch to three quarters of an inch was much higher. Rainfall amounts that occurred at my house was 1.40 inches of rain and their were isolated higher amounts. This just made areas of high water higher and has caused more isolated flooding of streets and yards. We should be able to dry out though over the next week. Their is only a one day with a slight chance of rain this week until next Sunday. Sunday then we could have a small 1-3 inch snowstorm occur. Models have been all over with this one, but over the last couple of days it has continued to show a storm near our area. The air should be cold enough for snow if the storm occurs. After that we have to watch for a big storm to occur between the 25th and the 30th. The models have picked up on this storm for three days now with a track somewhere between the Appalachians and 100 miles or more off the Atlantic Coast. The farther east track would cause a blizzard for the immediate coastal regions if it occurs. The farther east tracks would cause several inches of rain before changing over to a couple inches of snow. The temperatures after we are in the 50s for the next 2 days should fall to the upper 30s to mid 40s for the next week. Stay tuned as I get more details on the two possible snowstorms.

Saturday, December 12, 2009

How Much More Rain?

Rain is still on tap for Sunday. Rain should begin in the morning as light precipitation. Through the day the rain should increase in intensity. The rain should end Sunday night. Rainfall amounts between a quarter and three quarters inches of rain is expected.This precipitation will only make flooding in some areas worst and flood more yards. Also the rain will likely cause the cancellation of the Delmar Christmas Parade. After this storm we should dry out for at least until next Saturday. That is when there is a chance of a clipper system which if it comes through will cause 1-3 inches of snow to fall on the Delmarva. After that the models have had no consistency with the weather. So stay tuned as I will be putting more updates through the week and give my Christmas weather forecast.

Thursday, December 10, 2009


When will the rain ever end? This is a question many people on the Delmarva is asking. With rain occurring once a week for what seems to be the last month the Delmarva is waterlogged. Before the recent storm over 3 inches had fell on the Delmarva over the past weeks. The storm added 2.5 more inches of rain at my house. Many roads, yards, and small streams and rivers were flooding. The rain though is not over. This weekend heavy rain could occur again. Rainfall amounts could be half an inch to an inch only agitating flooding on the Delmarva. After that it is hard to tell if the storms will be producing rain or snow. So stay tuned for more updates on the drenching the Delmarva continues to take.

Friday, December 4, 2009

Stormy Gameday Saturday

On the day that many of us Delmarians have been waiting for since last Friday looks to be a stormy one. The storm down near the Gulf States now that produced heavy snow in Houston looks to move across the Southern States and then up to the Northeast. In the south Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and the Carolinas will see snow. Snow will also fall in Maryland, Virginia, West Virginia, Delaware, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, and all of the New England states. The snow should fall hardest in and around D.C. Snow there will start as rain and then by afternoon should change to all snow accumulating 3-6 inches. Also an area of 1-3 inches of snow will fall on the Delmarva. Here the precipitation should start as heavy rain transitioning to heavy snow by evening. The rest of the Northeast looks as if they will receive 2-4 inches. So stay tuned to my blog for more details on the storm as I will update the blog tomorrow morning.

Thursday, December 3, 2009

Forecast Models All Over The Place

There has been pretty much no consistency with any of the forecast models lately. The only thing we are for sure at this point is that we are going to receive some flakes Friday Night. Some models are showing a I-95 snowstorm with mostly rain on the Delmarva and then at the very end changing to snow. Others are showing a snowstorm for Virginia to the Delmarva with most precipitation being snow. This unsureness makes it nearly impossible to make a snowfall prediction. At this point though it does seem that the Delmarva will see at least a half an inch. There still is the chance of several inches of snow still though. So stay tuned as hopefully the forecast models will get more consistent.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

18Z Forecast Model Shows Snow Once Again

Snow is one word many of us haven't heard very much the last couple of years. This year it looks as if this is all going to change. Our first snowstorm of the season may be on us Saturday into Sunday. The precipitation should start as rain Saturday morning. Through the day though the rain should change to a mix and then to all snow. Snow could be heavy at times on Saturday night when most of the precipitation is expected to fall. If the 18Z GFS model comes true snow should accumulate several inches. It looks as if the model is showing 1-4 inches of snow accumulating. The roads though if this occurs should not be bad as they are warm from the warmer than normal temperatures we have been seeing lately. This means people going up to Delaware State to watch Delmar put a whoop down on Hodgson should not have any trouble coming home. Snow though will accumulate on sidewalks and grassy areas. Snow shovels would be a good thing to have in case the storm does hit like the 18Z is showing. Along with the snow there will be very cold temperatures this weekend. Saturday high temperatures should barely get out of the 30s and nighttime temperatures could dip down to the mid 20s. This will not change any Sunday with close to the same temperatures expected if not colder. The cold temperatures will keep the snow on the ground for a couple days to make it look very wintery out and about. Stay tuned for my next post where I will talk more about the upcoming snowstorm.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

!Forecast Models Doing a Little Ying Yang!

While all the GFS models have been on a storm coming Saturday and Sunday the storm track is not certain. Also how fast the cold air will come in to the Mid-Atlantic is not for sure. If the cold air comes in quick and is here with the storm hugging the coast it is for certain we will have a snowstorm. This scenario will produce a widespread area of 3"+ of snow. This is only one scenario though. Another scenario is that the cold air holds off to come in and the storm comes up the inland Mid-Atlantic. This will just cause heavy rain with no snow. The next scenario is the storm hugs the coast ,but the cold air comes in while the precipitation is already in place. This will cause rain to change from rain to rain/snow and then to all snow accumulating a dusting to 2 inches. Finally the last scenario is that the storm tracks far off the coast and causes no precipitation at all and a few clouds with cold air. As you can tell there is much difficulty finding which scenario is going to pan out. Before we have to worry about this storm though we will have to deal with tomorrows major storm. Tomorrow a low pressure area should track up the Appalachians. This will produce very heavy rain tomorrow night with a few embedded strong thunderstorms and strong wind. With this storm rainfall amounts should range 1-3 inches. This could cause flash flooding in poor drainage areas. Also winds should range 25-40 mph with gusts to 50 mph. These winds could cause coastal flooding and a few trees and power lines down. For more updates stay tuned as I will be updating tomorrow about the stormy weather pattern.

Monday, November 30, 2009


Stormy and Much Colder

Sorry for not posting lately, but there has not been very interesting weather lately. This is all going to change this week. In the middle of the week a strong storm will be moving north from the Gulf States. The storm on Thursday should move up west of the Appalachians preventing any snow from falling. Heavy rain and thunderstorms are likely though with this storm as we could see 1-3 inches of rain. Then once this storm moves out Arctic Air will be moving into the area. High temperatures through this weekend could be in the 40s with lows in the 20s. This will likely be the first big freeze of the year. Many of us won't like this weather as most of Delmar will be traveling up to Dover for the Division 2 State Championship to cheer on our Wildcats as they take on Hodgson. If you are one of them who don't like that weather it could get worst. There is a chance that a small piece of the storm that broke off the storm on Thursday could move up the coast forming an area of snow that will move up the East Coast from the Carolinas to New England. If this happens it could be snowing at the end of the championship game through Sunday. Snowfall amounts could be in the 1-3 inch range. This storm is not likely though and you should tune back in through the week as I get more confidence in the snowstorm.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009


Delmar VS. Laurel

Friday night thousands of people are going to be coming into Laurel for possibly the biggest rematch of the decade. Over five thousand fans are expected to be at the game between the Delmar and Laurel. It looks like now what I thought could be a rainy night with some snow mixing in will be a dry night with chilly temperatures in the 30s. So bundle up for the game cause it is going to be a long one. The rain though that looked like it would impact us Friday night now looks as if it will come in the form of showers on Friday morning with very little accumulation. The cold still does still look as if it is coming so stay tuned as I get more information on the wild weather.

Monday, November 23, 2009

Stormy and Cooler

Over the next several weeks the weather will be becoming very stormy and much cooler. The first storm in the parade of big storms for the East will be Friday into Saturday. Cold air will also be coming in at the same time. How fast the cold air arrives and where the low pressure system is will determine who gets snow. At this time it looks as if Delmar will be receiving rain and then ending and the temperatures to become much cooler with a game time temperature Friday night of around 35 degrees. Areas around the Appalachians though will receive several inches of snow. Flurries though could reach all the way to the East Coast Friday night even though it is not likely. After that the next storm will be the next weekend after next. This storm could be the I-95 snow lovers storm. It is possible that the big city will receive significant snow depending on the track of the storm. Stay tuned as I will continue to update you on the beginning of winter for the East.


Sunday, November 22, 2009

Snow Possible For Delmar VS. Laurel Game

With Delmar beating Howard last night 35-28 it has set up for a rematch for Delmar and Laurel. This looks like it will be a great game with thousands of fans going out to the game. Whoever wins this game will go to the States. The weather though may not cooperate with the fans. The last three model runs have shown possible rain and snow on Friday. Where it is continuing to be consistent with saying we may see snow I am going to jump on the bandwagon and say that we can expect rain with possible snow mixed in Friday with high temperatures in the 40s and lows near 30. If snow does mix in it is likely it will not accumulate because of the mild temperatures the three days before so the ground temperature will not cooperate with accumulating snow. So stay tuned as Friday gets closer to see if the forecast will change any between now and then.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Rain Showers Then Possible Snowstorm

Scattered rain showers are falling now and should continue through tonight. This is not a big storm so there should be no more than a tenth of an inch of rain out of this system. After this we should have a storm move into our area Sunday bringing brief periods of heavy rain throughout the day. At this point there should be little wind and only around 1 inch or less of rain. Then after that we have to look at the end of next week at the possibility of an EAST COAST SNOWSTORM. Yes this is early for a coastal snowstorm, but it is one possibility coming in next week. Though not likely a storm could form off the East Coast and travel up the coast as the cold air is coming in forcing moisture into the cold air producing a possible snowstorm. If this does occur it could cause major travel disruptions on the day most Americans are shopping and returning back home from their Thanksgiving vacation. So stay tuned as we will keep you updated as the week goes on.

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Upcoming Two Weeks= Possible Coastal Storm and Then Arctic Cold

These next couple of weeks could be interesting ones in the weather world. The first interesting storm is a storm expected to come up the coast Saturday-Monday. This storm could bring heavy rain and wind to the Mid-Atlantic.It all depends on the track as this could be the difference of a heavy rain and wind event or a partly cloudy day. This storm if it does produce heavy rain and wind should not be even close to the event that Ida caused. If we receive the heavy rain and wind we should expect 0.50 inch to 1.5 inches of rain and bring winds of 15-25 mph. So on the coast there will only be minor beach erosion and tidal flooding with 3-6 foot waves. After that the next story will be the possible Arctic air coming in after Thanksgiving. If the Arctic air comes in which looks likely we will have high temperatures next weekend in the mid to upper 40s and night time lows around 30 degrees. Along with this Arctic air there is a possibility of a snowstorm. At this point the snowstorm does not look likely, but it is a possibility on the table as a storm could form off the coast as the cold air comes in. This is something we will have to watch the next 9 days. So tune back in tomorrow as I will have more on these possible storms.


Sunday, November 15, 2009

Nor'Ida Is Gone, Football Weather, Thanksgiving

Today any remnant clouds or at the beaches remnant tidal flooding should be gone by this afternoon. Today should be a great day for the Delmar vs. Woodbridge game. At game time temperatures should be in the upper 60s to near 70 with sunshine appearing after it has been gone since Tuesday. This great weather should stay with us as we go through the next week. Then around Thanksgiving arctic air will be plunging into the East. This will bring the possibility of a snowstorm a day or two days after Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving is still far away so the chances of the snowstorm is slim. Stay tuned though as we get closer to Thanksgiving to see if the forecast stays the same.

Friday, November 13, 2009

Storm is NOT Over Yet

The rain has stopped for now and the winds are not as strong as they were yesterday. Rain though is on its way back in the picture. Radar is picking up light to moderate rain over The Atlantic moving west towards the Delmarva. When this area of rain comes through another quarter inch of rain or more is possible and winds gusting to 40-50 mph could occur. Also the beach today is going to get hardest hit. Waves today should be around 15-20 feet with a sea level rise of 3-5 feet. These two things combined will continue to cause significant coastal flooding and major beach erosion. The past two tides have swamped the coastal areas and put them under a couple feet of water. The coastal residents though will have to survive yet another high tide tonight around 4 o'clock. So stay tuned to the blog for continuing updates on the storm.

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

School Administrators and Businesses Might Want to Think About Closing Thursday

It is raining now and it will continue to rain until Friday night. Winds are also on an increase as the new low pressure system if forming and strengthening. This will cause winds across the Peninsula to blow 25-50 mph through the day Thurday and Thurday night. Gusts during this time could be from 40-70 mph. This is strong enough to cause structure damage and possible power outages. Rain also will continue to accumulate to possibly 3-6 inches. This could cause some flooding. So remember if you come to a road that is covered to turn around and don't drown. Also at the beaches a persistent strong wind from the ocean will cause moderate to major coastal flooding. Tides could be 2-5 feet above normal until Friday night. Also huge waves could crash on the shores causing significant beach erosion. Wave heights will be anywhere from 10-25 feet from today through Friday and possibly Saturday. If you are on a barrier island like Ocean City, Rehoboth, Assateague, or Chincoteague you may want to consider evacuating the island as this is a dangerous situation. Stay tuned to my blog as this major storm continues to pound the Mid-Atlantic.

Worst Case Scenario is Going to Happen

What I have feared could happen is most likely going to happen. It has began to rain now and it should not stop till Friday. This will cause rain to begin to pile up and cause possibly major flooding. We can expect 3-5 inches of rain. Along with the rain wind will also be a big problem. Winds should increase through the day today and by tomorrow be at their strongest. Winds tomorrow could be sustained 25-40 mph with gusts close to 50-60 mph and they could be even stronger on the coast. Winds on the coast could be sustained at 35-50 mph with gust to 60-70 mph. Also coastal flooding, beach erosion and huge waves will be a problem. At this point a High Wind Warning, Coastal Flood Warning, High Surf Advisory, and Flood Watch are out in Worcester County and we can expect even more advisories come out across Delmarva today. Stay tuned as I will continue to put multiple updates up the next couple of days.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

Delmar-Woodbridge Game could be a Washout

Though it does not look likely to happen there is a chance we could receive heavy rain on Friday night during the Southern Division Champions Delmar versus Woodbridge game. This night is also parent night. Parents though might not be very happy having to walk on a drenched field. Starting tonight rain and wind should begin to increase. Rain by Wednesday evening could be heavy from the central Delmarva Peninsula to South Carolina. In this area rainfall amounts could exceed 8 inches. Most likely though the Delmarva will only receive 1-3 inches of rain in a prolonged amount of time from tonight to possibly Saturday. Wind also will pick up from 5-10 mph tonight to 20-40 mph Thursday coming out of the northeast like a Nor'easter. This wind could be higher at the beaches with onshore winds 30-50 mph with gusts to hurricane force. This wind could cause damage. It also could cause major coastal flooding and beach erosion. If you know anyone who lives on the coast tell them to move there car to higher ground as a Coastal Flood Watch is out now and a Coastal Flood Warning is likely to come out. As well with the flooding and erosion waves will also be big in the 5-15 feet range. So stay tuned as we found out more about when the storm should move out.

Weaker than First Thought

Tropical Storm Ida has made landfall this morning with 45 mph winds and it changed to an extra tropical storm. The storm on the gulf caused gusty winds and 2-5 inches of rain with even more falling north of the coast where the rain had moved away from the center of the storm. At this point it looks as if Ida is going to take a turn to the east and go off the Georgia or South Carolina coast. The storms impacts here though first thought to be bad are going to be small with light to moderate rain and some windy conditions. This does not mean you can rule out 1-2 inches of rain and 20-30 mph. This all can change though if Ida takes a change of course than what is predicted. If the storm goes north we can still see what I was saying was possible yesterday and if the storm goes south we could just receive a few clouds. At this point though these two outcomes look unlikely. We just have to pay attention right now as we'll get more information as the day goes on.

Monday, November 9, 2009

Weaker But Still Very Disruptive Storm to Impact Gulf to Mid-Atlantic

By tonight Tropical storm Ida should make landfall as a moderately strong tropical storm. The wind is not the main impact of this storm it is the flooding of the already drenched south. Areas on the Gulf Coast up to Atlanta could receive 3-9 inches of rain. After this the storm gets difficult at predicting ,but at this point it seems as if the storm will spread some rain and wind up to the Mid-Atlantic with a new low forming off the North Carolina coast forming some beach erosion and flooding. If it turns out this way winds could be sustained 15-25 mph with 1-2 inches of rain. There is a worse scenario though with the storm staying strong and then strengthening even more up near the Mid-Atlantic. This would cause 3-6 inches of rain with 30-50 mph sustained winds with gust to 60-70 mph. Beach erosion, coastal flooding, and waves to 10 feet would be a major problem if this scenario plays out. At this point we will just have to continue to keep a close eye on the storm.

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Wide Range of Possibilities for Hurricane Ida

Most forecast models are pretty much in similarity for the next 24 hours. After this the models go crazy and there is a wide range of possibilities for the storm. For the strength some models have Hurricane Ida being a tropical storm at landfall while another model has it making landfall as a Category 3 hurricane and staying at Category 1 strength if it goes on a track that takes it up to Virginia. Also there is a wide range of tracks for the storm. The storm curving back out in the Gulf is a possibility, the storm going into and across Florida is another possibility, the storm going up to the Mid-Atlantic is also a possibility, and the storm going up towards Canada is another track possibility. The worst case scenario though for the Delmarva area is it going up to just off the Mid-Atlantic. This could give the beaches major beach erosion, coastal flooding, and very high surf. Also several inches of rain with 60-80 mph gust is possible. If this scenario works out the Appalachians will also be slammed with 1-2 feet of heavy wet snow. We will just have to pay close attention right now to this dangerous storm.

Mid-Week Could Be A Wash Out

Some computer models are beginning to show Hurricane Ida hit Louisiana and the remnants move up the coast. When the remnants move up the coast moisture will be pulled in and expand the rain area. By Wednesday rain could begin to fall and it might continue to fall for several days. The 06z gfs shows an area of rain impacting the Mid-Atlantic on Wednesday then stalling out and continuing to produce heavy rain and strong winds Friday. The estimated rainfalls on the 06z gfs shows 8-10 inches in the middle Delmarva Peninsula and the Mid-Atlantic as a whole receiving anywhere from 1-10 inches in a widespread area. This could cause a serious flooding problem if this is the way the storm plays out. Along with the heavy rain winds of 40-60 mph could impact the coastal regions. Coastal flooding, rip currents, and beach erosion could be a major problem, too. Stay tuned for my blog as I get more information on the storm and as the week progresses.

Saturday, November 7, 2009

Tropical Storm Ida Threatens Gulf Coast

It may be November but the tropical Atlantic is still live and going. In the past couple days a storm in the Carribean formed off the coast of Nicaragua and Honduras and quickly gained strength and hit the coast there as a hurricane producing gusty winds and substantial rain. This morning this storm moved back off the coast into the Carribean and has strengthened to near hurricane strength with 70mph winds. The storm is moving north at 9mph and could gain more strength causing it to become a hurricane again as it continues to move north in a path that goes in the Gulf and gives the storm no where to go ,but into one of the southern states. Residents from Louisiana to Florida could have to deal with flooding and strong winds by the middle of the week by a weak tropical storm as when it gets far north in the Gulf the storm should begin to weaken from wind shear. So if you have family down in the Gulf states you may want to call them and tell them to pay close attention to the tropics.

Warming up in Delmar and surrounding areas

After the cold morning this morning where it reached 30 degrees fahrenheit it has began to warm up and should continue to do so throughout the next couple of days. Today the high temperature was 60 degrees and tomorrow the temperature could go even higher. Some areas around the Delmarva could reach 70 degrees. This is unseasonable for the beginning to middle of November. Seasonal averages though should come back at the end of the week with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s and lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.